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- PRESS24 NEWS correspondent
A new question has arisen after Congress leader Jitin Prasada joined BJP.
The question is, who will benefit and whose loss will be due to this political development.
At present, political analysts are talking less on the advantages or disadvantages of Jitin Prasada and more on the advantages and disadvantages of BJP and Congress.
Many political analysts are calling this a big setback for the Congress, saying that now the time has come when the Gandhi family should seriously think about how to save the Congress party from disintegration.
At the same time, some people are insisting that Jitin Prasada’s joining BJP is showing extra enthusiasm because Prasad’s movement will not bring a big change in the ground politics.
Congress party’s displeasure
From the big leaders in the Congress party to the Twitter handles of the state branches, displeasure has been expressed towards Jitin Prasad.
Leader of Opposition in Rajya Sabha Mallikarjun Kharge has said, “Jitin Prasad was a traditional Congressman. We respected them and did not ignore them. He was the general secretary, in-charge of Bengal. And every time he kept getting permission to contest elections. Despite this, if he accuses the Congress and the ideology for which he himself and his father worked and fought, it is a pity.”
At the same time, top Congress leader Kapil Sibal has also written on his official Twitter account, “Jitin Prasad joined BJP. The question is whether he will get “prasad” from BJP or is he a new ‘victim’ of BJP for UP elections. If ideology does not have a place in such deals, then change is easy.”
The Twitter handles of the state branches of the Congress party have clearly expressed resentment and anger towards Jitin Prasada.
It was written on the Twitter handle of Madhya Pradesh Congress that the Congress is happy with the departure of Jitin Prasad – “It is a normal process like throwing garbage in the dustbin.”
However, this tweet was later deleted.
Jitin Prasad, reacting to this, said, “I will not give any comment. Everyone is free to criticize. Those whose thoughts are small, they will always be small. I am taking everyone’s criticism as prasad. I believe that my decision is right and in the interest of the country.”
Looking beyond the political rhetoric, a question still exists as to what will be the impact of Jitin Prasada joining the BJP and leaving the Congress on both the parties.
What will change for whom on the ground?
Uttar Pradesh is a state where the Brahmin vote bank has had its own importance in politics. In the politics of Uttar Pradesh, there has been a belief for a long time that the power of the state can be achieved by taking Brahmins along.
Political analysts have been giving credit to the Brahmin vote bank for taking Mayawati to Akhilesh Yadav to the chair of power.
It can be understood from this that BJP, SP and BSP have been making promises like getting the idol of Parashuram from Brahmin platform to bring Brahmins with them. The Brahmin society is also considered strong in terms of numbers.
Sanjay Kumar, director of the Center for the Study of Developing Societies, believes that Brahmins are definitely an important class in the politics of Uttar Pradesh.
He says, “On the basis of statistics, about eight to ten percent of the votes in UP are of Brahmins. And having such a large number of voters of any caste in any state is important from the point of view of electoral mathematics.
Will BJP get any benefit?
But since Yogi Adityanath became the Chief Minister, there is talk of growing dissatisfaction with the party in the Brahmin community in Uttar Pradesh.
In such a situation, the question arises whether Jitin Prasad will be able to pacify the anger of Brahmins for BJP in the upcoming assembly elections.
Because till some time ago he himself was taking a dig at Yogi Adityanath for having a sense of disregard for Brahmins.
On this question, Sanjay Kumar says, “Looking at the statistics, in the last many elections, the Brahmin vote has remained with the BJP. In my opinion, Jitin Prasada is not a strong leader with such a huge mass base, whose leaving the BJP will result in the remaining Brahmin votes also going to the BJP.
Talking about the electoral performance of Jitin Prasad, he has lost both the last elections. Congress had given him the command in West Bengal where Congress has not got a single seat.
Senior journalist Yogesh Mishra, who understands the caste equations in UP politics, believes that the place where the Congress is at present in Uttar Pradesh, it is not likely to suffer any loss due to Jitin Prasada’s departure.
He says, “In politics, a person is either an asset or a liability or a burden. Looking at the past election performance of Jitin Prasada, he does not appear to be standing in any situation as the strength or potential of the Congress party.
“If we talk about the benefits to the BJP, then I would say that it does not seem to benefit the BJP in any way. Because, Congress is not in any fight in Uttar Pradesh elections. At present, the Samajwadi Party is in the competition. And if the BJP had brought a Brahmin leader from the SP, it would have sent a message to the Brahmins. But even at the level of sending the message by bringing Jitin Prasada, not much work has been done. Not much work has been done even at the caste level.”
Will Congress gain or lose?
Analysts believe that the Brahmin community of Uttar Pradesh has supported BJP in the name of Narendra Modi in 2014 general elections, 2017 Uttar Pradesh elections and 2019 general elections. There was a time in the politics of Uttar Pradesh when the Congress used to get the support of Brahmins.
But after the political changes that took place in the nineties, the Brahmin class of UP continued to drift away for the Congress. Senior journalist Aparna Dwivedi, who has been watching the Congress for a long time, believes that Jitin Prasad has never been successful in bringing Brahmin society to the Congress in Uttar Pradesh.
She says, “One of the problems with these big leaders is that they are big leaders because they come from big families. They have no base of their own. Same problem is seen with Jitin Prasad. Along with losing his election, he is no longer in a position to make his family members win the district panchayat level elections. He is trying to make himself the leader of Brahmins. He got the idols of Lord Parashuram installed from Brahmin Chetna Manch, but how much support of Brahmins he has been able to gather towards him on the ground, it has not been proved so far. In such a situation, when he was in Congress, the party did not see much benefit from it. In such a situation, it is difficult to say right now that his departure will cause a big loss to the party because from where the party is at the moment, how much damage it can cause.
Professor Sanjay Kumar also seems to agree with Aparna Dwivedi.
He says, “If you look at the vote share of the Congress, the Congress has about 8 to 10 per cent of the vote in which the Brahmin vote is very small. The major share is of Muslim voters. In such a situation, Congress does not see a big loss due to Jitin Prasada joining BJP.
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